It’s critical to understand all the drivers of income and expenses and evaluate multiple cash earnings metrics
Why is that? No matter the source, excess income or expenses at the company level flows to NAV per share. Clearly, some items, like realized gains, are less reliable long-term and we shouldn’t assume they’ll always be around.
As shown above, NAV per share was $5.81 as of the end of 2017 and climbed to $6.61 within two years or healthy 14.0% growth. The pandemic-panic of Q1 2020 caused the NAV per find fast money New Hampshire share to fall to $5.34, but as we discussed many, many times, the bulk of this drawdown was due to accounting requirements to reduce the portfolio value not realized losses.
Many investors and analysts did not understand this and panic sold BDCs (and mortgage REITs) at the exact time a deeper understanding would have led them to buy (as we did).
In terms of liquidity, this modestly sized BDC ended Q3 with $470 million in capacity on its credit lines
This is exactly what occurred starting in Q2 2020 and continued to occur every quarter since with OCSL’s NAV reaching a new high of $6.85 in Q4 of 2020.
Changes in NAV are mathematically linked to investor returns through the simple equation (change in NAV per share) X (premium/discount to NAV).
20%, each 1.0% increase in NAV generates a 1.2% increase in the share price for investors, all other things equal.Continue reading→