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The Saints, by comparison, seem like an easier opponent to handle, but the line is right on the key number of a field goal. The Jets are 2-6 SU and ATS on the year, but 1-1 SU and ATS under Mike White, who gets the start in place of the still-healing Zach Wilson. The Jets are 5-3 to the Over and have scored a bunch of points while allowing a bunch of points the last two games.
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Returning in Week 10 was always the hope for Wilson and his rehab looks to have progressed on schedule. Wilson went through a walkthrough before Sunday’s game and has worked off to the side at Seahawks practice. Geno Smith will make at least two more starts before Seattle gets Wilson back. It’s a brutal matchup for AJ Brown and Julio Jones, again after separate bouts with hamstring injuries. Perimeter Corner Tre’Davius White and Levi Wallace are playing well and taking big help from Taron Johnson in the slot. Brown and Jones need to use their size and strength to help Tannehill when it won’t be easy in coverage.
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Patriots are ATS in their last 54 games after allowing less Where Is Sports Betting Legal? than 250 total yards in their previous game. The only team in the AFC West that has seen its win total change is the Chargers. After opening at 7.5 (Over -110, Under -110), Los Angeles is now up to 8 with the Over priced at -115.
Tampa Bay used a three-touchdown first quarter to build an early lead and never looked back en route to a dominant 38-3 victory. The reigning Super Bowl champs improved to 6-1 on the season. However, they have only covered three out of seven point spreads to date. Tom Brady achieved yet another career milestone last Sunday by throwing his 600th touchdown pass.
The Jags have had the Colts’ number in their last 12 meetings. It hasn’t been enough to win, but they have dominated the Colts against the spread. With momentum on their side, Week 10 could be another cover for Jacksonville against Indy. One pleasant surprise to the start of this season has been the success of the Dallas Cowboys. They have covered eight of their last nine games going back to last season and they only seem to be getting better even as their spreads get bigger.
It will be facing the 49ers’ defense which ranks seventh, giving up 235.4 yards per game through the air. The Chargers have won their only game this season when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs. Baltimore’s games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 51 points three times. Baltimore has covered twice in five games with a spread this season.
Since the start of 2018, Baltimore is 9-1 ATS as an underdog. This is the second time Jackson has been a home underdog – Baltimore beat New England as a three-point underdog in 2019, also on Sunday Night Football. Dallas is 6-11 ATS since the start of last season, tied for the worst cover percentage in the NFL. Atlanta has covered seven of its past eight games as a double-digit underdog. Minnesota is 6-11 ATS since the start of last season, tied for the worst cover percentage in the NFL. Philadelphia has covered each of its last five games as a home underdog.
New York’s defense ranks 22nd in yards conceded per game (382.0), while Dallas’ offense is third in the league at 420.8 yards per game. Miami’s defense ranks 25th in yards conceded per game (388.3), while Tampa Bay’s offense is eighth in the league at 399.8 yards per game. And, lo and beyond, the Lions didn’t even come close to covering last week against the Eagles. The Lions closed as 3.0-point underdogs and lost by 38 when all was said and done.
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All of their games have Wilson and the drop-off to Smith is quite substantial, so we’ll look solely at the Pittsburgh trends here for Sunday Night Football. Arizona is 3-2 to the Under and Cleveland is 3-2 to the Over in one of the most popular betting games of the week. They are 3-2 to the Over, as the offense has been better than expected and the defense has been worse. The Chargers are surprisingly 4-1 to the Under, though a missed PAT kept the Chiefs game under.